Why do this
poblem?
This problem calls for interpreting the given data in terms
of concepts of probability and, at each stage, reviewing how
the weather situation is related to the results of the
calculations from the formulae. It provides a good exercise in
conditional probability and an opportunity to investigate
iteration and a limiting process.
Possible approach
The scaffolding given in the problem itself should be
sufficient for most learners to do this problem
independently.
Key question
We are given information about the probability that tomorrow is
wet. What does this tell us about the probability that tomorrow
is dry?
Possible
extension
Try the problem
FA Cup.
Possible support
The question itself gives a lot of guidance.